Thomas
DeChastelain
Memorial Archives

The HUI - Big Week Coming
posted Jun 4, 2004 at 05:55PM

Price Action



Fib Ratio Study #1



Fib Ratio Study #2



Daily Chart



Weekly Chart



Commentary

The technical terrain is very simple. The bulls have to get a weekly close over 200. Period. End of story.

Otherwise we have a failed retest of a three year long trend-line

Fortunately the daily charts show promise of short-term strength, given half a chance. The stochastics are in bullish allignment. There is nothing to indicate that the weakness last week was anything more than some needed backing and filling. It put in a nice candle on Friday above Fib support levels.

The weekly chart is more ominous however. The bulls have to start bringing their "A-game" to the market.

A weekly close 3.5% under the 65 week moving average (say 182) has extremely bearish implications. If capital preservation is your primary goal then you may not want to let it get that far.

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